The Weather Wire
January 2006 Volume 14 Number 1
Avg High 43.1
Avg Low 17.2
Snow - 4.1"
Season Snow - 10.6"
Precipitation - 0.35"
Avg High 43.2
Avg Low 15.2
Avg Snow - 7.7"
Avg Precip - 0.51"
Risk Management and Skyview Weather |
Risk management is defined as an activity that evaluates risks, and developments and implements procedures that reduce or eliminate the exposure to harm and loss. Or, put another way, it is the process of evaluating what can go wrong, and taking steps to prevent it. Predictable is preventable.
As an example of risk management, lets begin with the following chart:.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; survey of occupations with minimum 30 fatalities and 45,000 workers in 2002.
Its not a surprise that timber
cutters and fisherman top the list, but note the 10th item on the list,
truck drivers. Truck driving is a dangerous occupation, with 25
fatalities per 100,000 workers, and one of the occupations with the highest
in numbers killed, with almost 600 drivers killed each year (in recent
years). Yet, when was the last time you heard of UPS having a
driver killed. No driver fatalities occurred in 2004. Or 2003.
Or 2002. Or 2001. Lucky? Hardly. UPS has one of the most
extensive risk management programs in America today, training drivers on
everything from which foot to step down on, how to load a package, how to
safely drive. Clearly, risk management at UPS has been highly
successful. Risk management works!
An effective risk management plan requires several key items:
Risk Identification and Evaluation
Risk Control and Education
Risk Monitoring and Reaction
The first step in any risk management plan is access the risks that apply in your organization. Identifying hazards, and a review of the consequences and severity of the consequences if the event should take place must be reviewed. Only by having an understanding of the specific risks that your organization faces can steps be taken to reduce or eliminate those hazards.
Once risks have been identified, steps to reduce or eliminate the risk should be implemented. Procedures and policies are reviewed and set up. Once procedures are in place, education becomes critical. The best procedures cannot be followed if no one knows of the procedures, and the proper steps to be taken once an event is occurring. Education is even more critical with time sensitive events, when reaction time is of the essence. Remember, identifiable risks are manageable risks!
The third step is risk monitoring. Only by being aware of specific risks to your organization, and monitoring for that risk, can an organization properly react when the risk develops.
Many risks can be identified at a given location, from hazardous chemicals, to proper ladder placement, to fire mitigation issues. Another hazard, both economically and physical, is weather hazards. With regard to weather hazards, Skyview Weather is in the risk management business, particularly with risk monitoring. As you know, Skyview Weather monitors a variety of weather conditions, and updates clients with specific information regarding weather threats that are in or near their location.
However, risk monitoring is just one part of an organizations risk management activities. It has become apparent to us that organizations need to look at risk identification as well as risk control and education needs. Skyview Weather can assist with both of these areas, working with our clients to identify weather risks to there facilities. Although risk assessment is an ongoing process, it is particularly important to do an assessment prior to the higher risk seasons, for summer clients, winter is an excellent time to do an assessment.
Beyond risk assessments, Skyview Weather sees a critical need for risk control measures, and in particular, education. Employees of an organization need to have regular training as to how to utilize information received by Skyview Weather with regard to risk monitoring. Plans of action need to be understood, and designed, prior to an event. In response to this critical need, Skyview Weather is in the process of designing a number of educational classes for both clients, and non clients alike. More information on these classes will be coming soon.
Risk management activities are an ongoing process, and result in financial savings through mitigation of hazards, proper response to hazards, and a safer environment. Although Skyview Weather cannot eliminate all risks associated with weather, through proper implementation of a risk management plan focusing on assessment, education, and operational monitoring, Skyview Weather can certainly assist your organization in reducing weather related risks.
Online Forecasts Available
Skyview Weather is happy to announce that online forecasts and snow reports are again available on our sister www.anythingweather.com website. Forecasts and snow reports are password protected, but an email to Tim@Skyview-WX.com requesting your forecast and/or snow reports be available online will result in an account being setup for you. As always, forecasts and snow reports are for client use only, but with the online access, forecasts and snow reports are just a click away from any computer with an internet connection!
Little change in drought conditions across most of Colorado, with few areas of drought remaining..
The map below shows forecasted temperature deviances for December 2005. As can be seen, above normal temperatures are expected for Colorado for December 2005.
The map below shows forecasted precipitation deviances for December 2005. Normal or near normal precipitation is expected for Colorado for December 2005.
As can be seen in the below map, most of the state has come out of the widespread drought conditions of a year ago, with drought not expected to redevelopment in the near term..
Even though we finished the month with near normal temperatures, the month as a whole was on the mild side. We did have one week when cold arctic air sat over the state and that brought the averages to the near normal mark. The other 3 weeks featured temperatures in the 50’s and 60’s well above normal. Temperatures did range from 69 on Christmas Day, a new record, to a -13 on the 7th which was the start of the cold arctic air.
Moisture wise it was a dry month for everyone along the Front Range. We did see a couple of light snowfalls during the month with the official total at Stapleton of only 1.7 inches. Snowfall was rather spotty in eastern Colorado for the month, but the heaviest snows were in central sections of Douglas County where Monument Hill reported just over 15 inches of snow. The rest of the Denver metro area came in around 2-6 inches for the month. Liquid moisture came in at only 0.35 inches which was 0.28 inches below the normal for the month as a whole.
With December coming in below normal for precipitation the calendar year was also below normal. The good news out of all this is that we have seen a constant parade of pacific storm systems that have been bringing record snowfalls to the Colorado high country and this is where the Front Range gets most of its water.
January is the coldest month of the year in Denver. The record low temperature for each day of the month is at least 10 degrees below zero. In addition, it is not uncommon for the mercury to drop below the freezing mark every night of the month. The coldest temperature ever recorded in Denver was 29 degrees below zero recorded on January 9th 1875.
Even though January is the coldest month of the year there is usually not an abundance of inclement weather. It is the second driest month of the year in terms of total precipitation and only the 5th snowiest month. An exception to this was in 1992 when 24.3 inches of snow fell during the month, making it the snowiest January in Denver history.
The weather during January is quite changeable which, to be honest, is a characteristic of just about any month in Denver. Cold blasts of arctic air usually bring several light snows and sub-zero temperatures to the area. On the other hand, Chinook winds that warm temperatures into the 50s and 60s are also common. These winds may blow as high as 100 miles per hour in and near the foothills. Chinooks are far more common than blizzards during January.
Sunrise/Sunset (Denver area)
October 2005 to April 2006